NCAA Tourney Seeding Process May Yield Several Mistakes

According to the BPI found on ESPN Insider here is what the S-Curve should look like by their standards.

Seed	First row	Second	Third	Fourth
1	KENTUCKY*	Syracuse	OHIO STATE*	NORTH CAROLINA*
2	Michigan State	Kansas	Duke	MISSOURI*
3	Wichita State	MEMPHIS	Baylor	Wisconsin
4	SAINT LOUIS*	LOUISVILLE*	Indiana	Georgetown
5	Marquette	Florida	Gonzaga	Vanderbilt
6	NEW MEXICO*	CREIGHTON	Kansas State	Alabama
7	Texas	Michigan	UNLV	Virginia
8	Temple	California	Florida State	Iowa State
9	Connecticut	MURRAY STATE	BELMONT	Cincinnati
10	San Diego State	ARIZONA*	SAINT MARY'S	Miami (FL)
11	LONG BEACH STATE*	Purdue	West Virginia	HARVARD
12	Southern Miss	North Carolina State	Brigham Young	La Salle
13	VCU	Northwestern/Xavier	Seton Hall/Iona	NEW MEXICO STATE*
14	AKRON*	SOUTH DAKOTA STATE	DAVIDSON	MONTANA
15	LEHIGH	LOYOLA (MD)	LAMAR*	UNC-ASHEVILLE
16	DETROIT	VERMONT	LIU BROOKLYN/WESTERN KENTUCKY	NORFOLK STATE*/MVSU*

You can see that there is some discrepancy between some of our "expert" bracketologists and these rankings.  These rankings take the entire season into account.  Unfortunately it looks like the BPI is consistent with other predictions for the Cyclones.  I am really hoping they can get off that 8/9 line.  ESPN also looked at the most overseeded and underseeded teams.

Overseeded team	Projected seed	BPI seed	Underseeded team	Projected seed	BPI seed
Michigan	3	7	Memphis	8	3
Florida State	4	8	Saint Louis	8	4
Saint Mary's	7	10	Texas	12	7
San Diego State	7	10	Belmont	14	9

You will see once again that the computers are loving Texas.  I'm not sure about a "7" seed for them when Iowa State appears to have a much better resume and is projected for an 8.  I guess Texas did go 2-1 against ISU.  I can see Michigan being seeded well above their ability.  I could even see them bowing out early.  Florida State kind of puzzles me.  Maybe the computers can see through Duke and UNC and know that those wins weren't as good as they seemed.

Just a little food for thought when the brackets are revealed tomorrow afternoon.