Sunday, January 30, 2011

1/30 Basketball Picks

My 7-3 day yesterday put my season record ATS at 18-13-1 (.581).  There is not much for good games today but I have three that are looking good to me.

Duke -8.5 @St. Johns
Providence +4.5 @Seton Hall
Duquesne -8 vs. Dayton

Saturday, January 29, 2011

1/29 Basketball Picks

Picking 7 games today for entertainment purposes.  Trying to get a feel for teams that may be playing in the NCAA tournament.

Louisville +4
Colorado +7.5
Clemson -2.5
NC State +10.5
BYU -2
Arizona State +2
Air Force +2

Hopefully its an underdog day!

Sunday, January 23, 2011

Top 5 Most Disappointing Moments as a Fan

Today got me reflecting on this, mainly because I have not had many positive moments as a fan.

5.  2004-2005 ISU Football:  ISU failed to qualify for the Big XII Championship Game two years in a row because of missed fields and interceptions in the end zone.  The first time hurt, the second time was brutal.
4.  2011 Bears Football:  The Chicago Bears had a home game against their arch rival Green Bay Packers for a trip to the Super Bowl.  Needless to say their starting quarterback sucked, got hurt and a rally by their third stringer Caleb Hanie came up 20 yards short.  Nothing is worse than losing to the Packers.
3. 2001 Cyclone Basketball:  ISU inexplicably lost as a #2 seed to #15 seed Hampton in the NCAA tournament.  The television in my bedroom took a beating after this one.
2. 2000 Cyclone Basketball:  One victory away from the Final Four, Iowa State got hosed in a game that was as close to a home game that one can get in the NCAA tournament.  It was basically the title game in seeding that has since been corrected by the NCAA.
1. 2003 Cubs Baseball:  You all know where this is going so I don't feel the need to explain.  The worst part was it taking a week and a half of my life to happen.

Honorable Mention:
2007-2008 Cubs:  Two playoff appearances, zero wins
2002 Iowa State Football: Iowa State got up to #9 in the country with a 6-1 record including a near victory at Arrowhead Stadium against #2 Florida State the very first game of the year.  I still swear Seneca was in.  Anyway, the Cyclones finished at 7-7 after a loss to Boise State in the Humanitarian Bowl.
2006 Chicago Bears: Losing in the Super Bowl was the closest I have come to seeing one of my teams winning the "big one".

Half-Time Reaction

1) The Bears have come out awfully flat.  I don't know how or why, but they have.  The Bears had a chance to respond right after the Packers touchdown, but an errant Cutler throw ended the drive.
2) The Bears are not stopping the run.  I don't get it and why they aren't but the Packers will be tough to stop if they can run and throw.
3) Cutler has missed several opportunities in crucial situations.  There have been three throws to Hester that if completed would have at least moved the chains and two of them might have been touchdowns.
4) Lovie has now passed on a 53 yard and a 49 yard field goal.  In the two situations they gained a total of 28 yards in field position.  The Bears need points any way they can get them, and now they need two touchdowns to TIE instead of two touchdowns to WIN.
5) The Bears get the ball to start and they need some points.  Obviously if they don't the game is not over, but they need some positive momentum.
6)  Here's to hoping that this is a repeat of the Ravens vs Steelers from last Saturday and this is just a setup for the best game in Packers vs Bears history....Bear Down

Saturday, January 22, 2011

Saturday Night Picks

I have dropped to 8-7-1 in college basketball this season.  Tonight should be the beginning of my comeback.

Washington State -2.5 vs Arizona
BYU -7 @ Colorado State
Iowa State +10.5 @ Missouri

NFL Conference Championships

First off, I want to put a disclaimer on this by saying that I realize my picks are subject to a bias (Go Bears).  I think tomorrow could be a wonderful day of good, competitive football.  Lets hope it is and lets hope I can be writing updates on the Bears for the next few weeks.

Game One
Green Bay (-3.5) @ Chicago
I initially thought the Bears would open as a one point favorite.  I was in awe when Green Bay opened up at -3.5.  Everything I have read supports the fact that this spread is based on the public jumping on a hot Green Bay team.  This spread in all honesty should be closer to a pick 'em.  I'm going to say that not only the Bears cover, but they also win the game straight up.  Chicago 19 Green Bay 17 which means this game will also cover the under at less than 43.5.

Game Two
NYJ (+3.5) @ Pittsburgh
I hope I still have a rooting interest in this game by the time it rolls around.  If that does happen I will be rooting for NYJ.  If I don't, Pittsburgh.  I think Pittsburgh wins this game, but I think the Jets cover.  The sharps have been taking New York and even on the moneyline.  Lets go with a final score of Pittsburgh 17 New York 16.  This means I am taking another under as well with a score of under 38.5.

In 24 years of life, not a single one of my teams in any sport has won their ultimate championship.  The closest class have been the Bears losing to the Colts in the Super Bowl, The Cubs being five outs away from the World Series and the Cyclones losing to Michigan State in what was basically the NCAA title game that occurred a couple steps from MSU"s campus in the Elite 8.  With that being said I would have to rank my ultimate rooting interests in this order...

1a)Iowa State Football BCS National Championship
1b)Iowa State Basketball National Championship
1c)Chicago Cubs World Series Championship
2) Chicago Bears Super Bowl Title
3) Iowa Hawkeye Football "0-12" Season

Monday, January 17, 2011

The Curse of No. 1 draft pick from the book, Scorecasting - The Bonus - SI.com

The Curse of No. 1 draft pick from the book, Scorecasting - The Bonus - SI.com


This is another good read. It makes so much sense. A question I wondered about was how this would change with a potential rookie salary cap. It really explains why the Patriots are good every year and some how have two picks in each of the first three rounds this draft and why the Redskins and Raiders are so bad. Hopefully the Panthers are listening, although their #1 pick is not worth nearly as much anymore now that Andrew Luck isn't available.