Monday, February 4, 2013

Cyclones Tourney Hopes Ed. 4

February 3rd

Since last time...

Loss @Oklahoma State
Win vs Baylor
Win vs Oklahoma

With a win against Oklahoma State I would have been completely comfortable talking about seeding the tournament instead of all the bubble talk.  Turns out things didn't go their way in the final minute but a 2-1 record over that three game stretch was needed and earned.  Oklahoma State turned around and won in Lawerence which vaulted them back into the race for 2nd place.  The wins against Baylor and Oklahoma were impressive.  They beat two potential tournament teams fairly handily.  Good stuff.

Current Resume:

Overall Record: 16-6
Conference Record: 6-3
Big Wins: #11 Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma
Bad Losses: @Texas Tech
RPI: 36 (Before OU win)
BPI:33 (Before OU win)

Ken Pomeroy (Before OU win):

The Cyclones today stand at #35 in KenPom's rankings.  Last week at this time they stood at #41. The Cyclones should shoot up the rankings tomorrow after the efficient offensive output tonight.  They had ISU predicted for 11 conference wins coming into today.  That won't go down obviously after tonight's win and may bump up to 12 wins tomorrow. 

Bracket Matrix:

The Bracket Matrix has ISU in the field in 57 of the 60 (95%) brackets.  This is a significant jump from last week with not all brackets accounting for the OU win.  After doing some reading the 90 percent is a key number.  When the committee meets in Indianapolis they will have already submitted 32 teams they think should make the field.  Any team that is on 9 out of the 10 ballots is put on the "IN" board and are only discussed when it comes to seeding.  A win against KSU on Saturday would put ISU in 100 percent of the brackets (or it should).

My Prediction (2/3) **This is based on what I predict will happen, not their resume to date**

Iowa State looked very good tonight.  How impressed was I?  I couldn't stop thinking they are a banked three away from being in the driver's seat for the Big XII.  Right now they have the ability to get hot and make a run at Kansas but these next two games go a long way toward that.


Overall Record: 22-7
Conference Record: 12-6 (Losses: @OSU, @OU, @BU, @Kansas, @Texas Tech vs Kansas)
Big Wins: Kansas State, Baylor, Oklahoma St., Oklahoma, @Kansas St.
Bad Losses: Texas Tech
Overall Seed: 10 (This may sky rocket if they take care of business in Manhattan this upcoming Saturday.) 

More big games appear on the ISU schedule.  They will be favored in 2 of their next 3.  One thing is sure, this year's bunch is sure fun to watch.  Until next time...

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