Sunday, December 15, 2013

DeAndre Kane - 2013-14 Big 12 Newcomer of the Year

I found something I'd worked on over the summer when it was announced DeAndre Kane was coming to ISU.  His numbers from Marshall were certainly impressive and I wondered how it would translate to the Cyclones.

Five players have transferred into ISU and started immediately during the Hoiberg era.  I looked at their stats from their last year with their former teams and their first year with Iowa State.  What did it show?

Unsurprisingly, FG% improves slightly, 3P% improves by 10%, and assists improve by more than 20%.  On average, every statistic improves or increases from the transfers season prior to ISU and their first with the Cyclones (except FT% and blocks).  DeAndre's stats were already gaudy.  If they improve, what will they look like?

His stat line would look like this - 18 pts/game, 8.4 assists, 4.6 rebounds, 2 steals.  Wow.  Those wouldn't be newcomer of the year stats, those would be Big 12 player of the year stats.  Marcus Smart last year went 15 points, 4.2 assists, 5.8 rebounds and 3 steals.  That was good enough for consensus player of the year.  

DeAndre's current line is 14.1 pts, 5.8 assists, 7.4 rebounds and 1.1 steals.  That's not quite what I'd calculated above but those are still huge numbers.  The logical thing would be to assume that his numbers come down in conference play, but I predict they'll stay the same or get better.  He'll play more minutes (29/game so far) and likely will keep up his high usage rate (24.6%).  

I'm changing my outlook for DeAndre.  He'll finish as a first team all Big 12 player. 


  1. ISU has four players that will seriously contend for All Big 12 honors. Kane along with Ejim, Hogue and Niang will all get some sort of credentials I believe. Naz Long could as well. I see Kane or Hogue getting Newcomer of the Year honors. Hopefully they don't split the vote.

  2. Also, can you run the numbers on Nader so we know what we can expect next year?

  3. I had Ejim, Kane and Niang with honors, but Houge has been a big surprise. Better numbers than Ejim had last year, which was good enough for 3rd team last year. If they keep the numbers up, it'll be tough to keep those 4 off the lists. Naz is probably a LONG shot.

    I'll have to run the numbers on Nader.

  4. Kane is being touted as the 2nd best guard in the Big XII now, but I think his numbers will be very close to Smart's. He is the real deal.

  5. He's now averaging 15 pts, 7.5 reb, 6.1 ast and 1 steal per game. Those are better numbers than Smart's last year